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Buy Low - Sell High! How the grocery store could be shaken by dynamic pricing

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The world of retail is constantly evolving, and one potential change on the horizon is the implementation of dynamic pricing for basic food items at grocery stores. This concept is already familiar in industries like airlines, hotels and even the price of gasoline. Prices adjust based on real-time factors. While potentially beneficial for both stores and consumers, the application of dynamic pricing to essentials raises concerns about fairness, affordability, and potential manipulation.

Several factors could influence dynamic pricing for basic food items. Perishability would be a key driver. Prices on items nearing their expiration date could decline significantly, incentivizing purchase and reducing food waste. Demand fluctuations could also play a role. Prices might rise slightly during peak shopping hours or weekends, similar to surge pricing in ride-sharing apps. Inventory levels could be another factor, with discounts offered to clear out excess stock.

The potential benefits of dynamic pricing are undeniable. For stores, reduced food waste translates to significant cost savings. Lower prices on expiring items can attract budget-conscious consumers, increasing sales and potentially boosting overall revenue. Dynamic pricing could also offer greater flexibility for shoppers, allowing them to snag deals on specific items when prices are favorable.

However, the impact on low-income families raises serious concerns. Dynamic pricing could create a situation where essential items become less affordable at certain times, forcing low-income households to make difficult choices or go without. Additionally, the reliance on digital signage for price updates could disadvantage elderly or less tech-savvy shoppers who might miss out on the best deals.

The specter of price gouging also looms large. Without proper oversight, stores could manipulate pricing algorithms to exploit consumer behavior, especially during times of high demand or limited supply. Transparency and clear communication of pricing strategies would be crucial to ensure fairness and prevent exploitation.

The potential for reduced food waste is a compelling argument in favor of dynamic pricing. However, this needs to be balanced with ensuring continued affordability for consumers who rely on these basic items. One solution could involve offering a base price for essential items that remains constant, with dynamic fluctuations only affecting a portion of the inventory. Additionally, stores could implement loyalty programs or designated discount times specifically for low-income shoppers.

Concerns about fairness extend beyond just affordability. Dynamic pricing could introduce an element of unpredictability that disrupts budgeting and meal planning for low-income families who often operate on tight margins. Clear price displays that show both the original and the adjusted price, along with a rationale for the change, would be essential for maintaining a sense of fairness.

Ultimately, the success of dynamic pricing for basic food items hinges on careful implementation. Robust regulations to prevent price gouging are paramount. Technology should be used to provide clear pricing information and empower consumers to make informed choices. Stores need to prioritize the needs of low-income shoppers by incorporating measures that ensure affordability and prevent them from being disproportionately impacted by fluctuating prices.

Guest:
Robbie Evan Sanders is a assistant professor at University of California, San Diego, Rady School of Management.

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*This interview will be recorded on Wednesdy, March 20, 2024.

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David Martin Davies can be reached at dmdavies@tpr.org and on Twitter at @DavidMartinDavi